Prediction of Carole Monnet vs Noma Akugue Noha at Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca 10-08-25

• In the last six months, Noma Akugue Noha has outperformed Carole Monnet on second serve points, winning 42.27% compared to Monnet's 36.79%. Could this give Noha an edge? It seems likely.
• Both players have similar return game stats, with Monnet winning slightly more on second serve returns at 51.96% compared to Noha's 51.11%. On first serve returns, Monnet also leads with 35.89% over Noha's 34.72%.
• Noha excels under pressure, saving 52.49% of breakpoints, surpassing Monnet's 48.35% in this area and possibly indicating a mental edge.
• Overall match performance in the past year favors Monnet with 58.33% wins over Noha's 50.85%.
• Surface preferences show Monnet is strongest on Hard courts with a 63% win rate, while Noha shines on Clay with the same win percentage.
• Both players have predominantly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Monnet showing slightly better performance by winning 56.60% versus Noha's 52.63%.
• Monnet has faced tougher opponents on average, with opponent ranks averaging 280.13 compared to Noha's 320.29.
• In deciding sets, Monnet has a 50% win rate compared to Noha's 39%, suggesting Monnet might have the upper hand if the match turns tight.

Editorial Prediction (October 6, 2025, UTC):

As we approach this matchup, Carole Monnet appears to have several minor edges over Noma Akugue Noha. Her ability to win on second serves and overall consistency in matches sets her apart. Though Noma Akugue Noha shows strong resilience under pressure, Monnet's overall win rate and performance against higher-ranked players position her favorably.

While Noma has a slight advantage on breaking points, Monnet’s decisive set performance and experience against tougher opponents could be crucial. Additionally, Monnet’s proficiency on hard courts aligns well with the likely playing conditions.

Considering the recent stats and performance patterns, Carole Monnet seems best positioned to win the upcoming match.